Real GDP growth
1.70%
Q1 2024
+0.7 pp up 0.7 pp versus May 2024
Source: TRREB MarketWatch, June 2024
Economic indicators
June 2024
Toronto employment growth
1.40%
May 2024
+0.3 pp up 0.3 pp versus May 2024
Toronto unemployment rate
7.90%
May 2024
+0.2 pp up 0.2 pp versus May 2024
Inflation (CPI, year-over-year)
2.90%
May 2024
+0.2 pp up 0.2 pp versus May 2024
Bank of Canada overnight rate
4.80%
July 2024
−0.2 pp down 0.2 pp versus May 2024
Prime rate
7.00%
June 2024
−0.2 pp down 0.2 pp versus May 2024
1-year mortgage rate
7.84%
June 2024
no change no change versus May 2024
3-year mortgage rate
6.99%
June 2024
no change no change versus May 2024
5-year mortgage rate
6.84%
June 2024
no change no change versus May 2024
The 5-year mortgage rate held at 6.84% versus May 2024, so financing costs were essentially unchanged month-over-month.
Interest and mortgage rates
13 months to June 2024
| Month | Bank of Canada overnight rate | Prime rate | 1-year mortgage rate | 3-year mortgage rate | 5-year mortgage rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun '23 | 4.8 | 7 | 7.14 | 6.54 | 6.49 |
| Jul '23 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.49 | 6.54 | 6.49 |
| Aug '23 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.89 | 6.89 | 6.79 |
| Sep '23 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.79 | 7.04 | 6.84 |
| Oct '23 | 5 | 7.2 | 8.09 | 7.14 | 7.04 |
| Nov '23 | 5 | 7.2 | 8.09 | 7.24 | 7.04 |
| Dec '23 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.89 | 7.24 | 7.04 |
| Jan '24 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.84 | 7.04 | 6.89 |
| Feb '24 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.84 | 6.99 | 6.84 |
| Mar '24 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.84 | 6.99 | 6.84 |
| Apr '24 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.84 | 6.99 | 6.84 |
| May '24 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.84 | 6.99 | 6.84 |
| Jun '24 | 4.8 | 7 | 7.84 | 6.99 | 6.84 |
Rates and prices together
5-year mortgage rate and TRREB average price
5-year mortgage rate
| Month | 5-year rate |
|---|---|
| Jun '23 | 6.49 |
| Jul '23 | 6.49 |
| Aug '23 | 6.79 |
| Sep '23 | 6.84 |
| Oct '23 | 7.04 |
| Nov '23 | 7.04 |
| Dec '23 | 7.04 |
| Jan '24 | 6.89 |
| Feb '24 | 6.84 |
| Mar '24 | 6.84 |
| Apr '24 | 6.84 |
| May '24 | 6.84 |
| Jun '24 | 6.84 |
TRREB average price
| Month | Average price |
|---|---|
| Jun '23 | 1182120 |
| Jul '23 | 1118374 |
| Aug '23 | 1082496 |
| Sep '23 | 1119428 |
| Oct '23 | 1125928 |
| Nov '23 | 1082179 |
| Dec '23 | 1084692 |
| Jan '24 | 1026703 |
| Feb '24 | 1108720 |
| Mar '24 | 1121615 |
| Apr '24 | 1156167 |
| May '24 | 1165691 |
| Jun '24 | 1162167 |
Shown side by side rather than on one dual-axis chart. Two scales sharing an axis invites the eye to read a relationship from where the lines happen to cross, which is an artifact of the scaling, not the data.
Source notes
Sources and Notes - Statistics Canada, Quarter-over-quarter growth, annualized. ii - Statistics Canada, Year-over-year growth for the most recently reported