Real GDP growth
1.00%
Q4 2023
+2.1 pp up 2.1 pp versus January 2024
Source: TRREB MarketWatch, February 2024
Economic indicators
February 2024
Toronto employment growth
2.40%
January 2024
−0.6 pp down 0.6 pp versus January 2024
Toronto unemployment rate
6.80%
January 2024
+0.1 pp up 0.1 pp versus January 2024
Inflation (CPI, year-over-year)
2.90%
January 2024
−0.5 pp down 0.5 pp versus January 2024
Bank of Canada overnight rate
5.00%
February 2024
no change no change versus January 2024
Prime rate
7.20%
February 2024
no change no change versus January 2024
1-year mortgage rate
7.84%
February 2024
no change no change versus January 2024
3-year mortgage rate
6.99%
February 2024
−0.0 pp down 0.0 pp versus January 2024
5-year mortgage rate
6.84%
February 2024
−0.0 pp down 0.0 pp versus January 2024
The 5-year mortgage rate fell 0.05 percentage points to 6.84% versus January 2024, lowering the cost of carrying a mortgage for buyers financing at that term.
Interest and mortgage rates
13 months to February 2024
| Month | Bank of Canada overnight rate | Prime rate | 1-year mortgage rate | 3-year mortgage rate | 5-year mortgage rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb '23 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 6.34 | 6.14 | 6.49 |
| Mar '23 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 6.29 | 6.14 | 6.49 |
| Apr '23 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 6.29 | 6.14 | 6.49 |
| May '23 | 4.5 | 6.7 | 6.29 | 6.14 | 6.49 |
| Jun '23 | 4.8 | 7 | 7.14 | 6.54 | 6.49 |
| Jul '23 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.49 | 6.54 | 6.49 |
| Aug '23 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.89 | 6.89 | 6.79 |
| Sep '23 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.79 | 7.04 | 6.84 |
| Oct '23 | 5 | 7.2 | 8.09 | 7.14 | 7.04 |
| Nov '23 | 5 | 7.2 | 8.09 | 7.24 | 7.04 |
| Dec '23 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.89 | 7.24 | 7.04 |
| Jan '24 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.84 | 7.04 | 6.89 |
| Feb '24 | 5 | 7.2 | 7.84 | 6.99 | 6.84 |
Rates and prices together
5-year mortgage rate and TRREB average price
5-year mortgage rate
| Month | 5-year rate |
|---|---|
| Feb '23 | 6.49 |
| Mar '23 | 6.49 |
| Apr '23 | 6.49 |
| May '23 | 6.49 |
| Jun '23 | 6.49 |
| Jul '23 | 6.49 |
| Aug '23 | 6.79 |
| Sep '23 | 6.84 |
| Oct '23 | 7.04 |
| Nov '23 | 7.04 |
| Dec '23 | 7.04 |
| Jan '24 | 6.89 |
| Feb '24 | 6.84 |
TRREB average price
| Month | Average price |
|---|---|
| Feb '23 | 1095617 |
| Mar '23 | 1108606 |
| Apr '23 | 1153269 |
| May '23 | 1196101 |
| Jun '23 | 1182120 |
| Jul '23 | 1118374 |
| Aug '23 | 1082496 |
| Sep '23 | 1119428 |
| Oct '23 | 1125928 |
| Nov '23 | 1082179 |
| Dec '23 | 1084692 |
| Jan '24 | 1026703 |
| Feb '24 | 1108720 |
Shown side by side rather than on one dual-axis chart. Two scales sharing an axis invites the eye to read a relationship from where the lines happen to cross, which is an artifact of the scaling, not the data.
Source notes
Sources and Notes - Statistics Canada, Quarter-over-quarter growth, annualized. ii - Statistics Canada, Year-over-year growth for the most recently reported