Source: TRREB MarketWatch, August 2023

Economic indicators

August 2023

Real GDP growth

-0.20%

Q2 2023

−3.3 pp down 3.3 pp versus July 2023

Toronto employment growth

3.20%

July 2023

+0.1 pp up 0.1 pp versus July 2023

Toronto unemployment rate

6.40%

July 2023

+0.3 pp up 0.3 pp versus July 2023

Inflation (CPI, year-over-year)

3.30%

July 2023

+0.5 pp up 0.5 pp versus July 2023

Bank of Canada overnight rate

5.00%

August 2023

no change no change versus July 2023

Prime rate

7.20%

August 2023

no change no change versus July 2023

1-year mortgage rate

7.89%

August 2023

+0.4 pp up 0.4 pp versus July 2023

3-year mortgage rate

6.89%

August 2023

+0.3 pp up 0.3 pp versus July 2023

5-year mortgage rate

6.79%

August 2023

+0.3 pp up 0.3 pp versus July 2023

The 5-year mortgage rate rose 0.30 percentage points to 6.79% versus July 2023, raising the cost of carrying a mortgage for buyers financing at that term.

Interest and mortgage rates

13 months to August 2023

Bank of Canada overnight rate, prime rate, and 1-, 3- and 5-year mortgage rates over the 13 months ending August 2023.
Month Bank of Canada overnight ratePrime rate1-year mortgage rate3-year mortgage rate5-year mortgage rate
Aug '22 2.54.75.195.646.14
Sep '22 2.55.55.695.746.14
Oct '22 3.85.56.096.046.49
Nov '22 3.866.096.046.49
Dec '22 4.36.56.346.146.49
Jan '23 4.56.56.346.146.49
Feb '23 4.56.76.346.146.49
Mar '23 4.56.76.296.146.49
Apr '23 4.56.76.296.146.49
May '23 4.56.76.296.146.49
Jun '23 4.877.146.546.49
Jul '23 57.27.496.546.49
Aug '23 57.27.896.896.79

Rates and prices together

5-year mortgage rate and TRREB average price

5-year mortgage rate

5-year mortgage rate over the 13 months ending August 2023.
Month 5-year rate
Aug '22 6.14
Sep '22 6.14
Oct '22 6.49
Nov '22 6.49
Dec '22 6.49
Jan '23 6.49
Feb '23 6.49
Mar '23 6.49
Apr '23 6.49
May '23 6.49
Jun '23 6.49
Jul '23 6.49
Aug '23 6.79

TRREB average price

TRREB average selling price over the 13 months ending August 2023.
Month Average price
Aug '22 1079500
Sep '22 1086762
Oct '22 1089428
Nov '22 1079395
Dec '22 1051216
Jan '23 1038668
Feb '23 1095617
Mar '23 1108606
Apr '23 1153269
May '23 1196101
Jun '23 1182120
Jul '23 1118374
Aug '23 1082496

Shown side by side rather than on one dual-axis chart. Two scales sharing an axis invites the eye to read a relationship from where the lines happen to cross, which is an artifact of the scaling, not the data.

Source notes

Sources and Notes - Statistics Canada, Quarter-over-quarter growth, annualized. ii - Statistics Canada, Year-over-year growth for the most recently reported