Source: TRREB MarketWatch, September 2020

Economic indicators

September 2020

Real GDP growth

period not printed

n/a not available, prior month not on file versus August 2020

Toronto employment growth

-8.10%

August 2020

+3.4 pp up 3.4 pp versus August 2020

Toronto unemployment rate

13.90%

August 2020

−0.8 pp down 0.8 pp versus August 2020

Inflation (CPI, year-over-year)

0.10%

August 2020

no change no change versus August 2020

Bank of Canada overnight rate

0.25%

September 2020

no change no change versus August 2020

Prime rate

2.45%

September 2020

no change no change versus August 2020

1-year mortgage rate

3.09%

September 2020

no change no change versus August 2020

3-year mortgage rate

3.59%

September 2020

−0.2 pp down 0.2 pp versus August 2020

5-year mortgage rate

4.79%

September 2020

no change no change versus August 2020

The 5-year mortgage rate held at 4.79% versus August 2020, so financing costs were essentially unchanged month-over-month.

Interest and mortgage rates

13 months to September 2020

Bank of Canada overnight rate, prime rate, and 1-, 3- and 5-year mortgage rates over the 13 months ending September 2020.
Month Bank of Canada overnight ratePrime rate1-year mortgage rate3-year mortgage rate5-year mortgage rate
Sep '19 1.753.953.643.945.19
Oct '19 1.753.953.643.945.19
Nov '19 1.753.953.643.945.19
Dec '19 1.753.953.643.945.19
Jan '20 1.753.953.643.945.19
Feb '20 1.753.953.643.945.19
Mar '20 0.252.453.293.945.04
Apr '20 0.252.453.294.055.04
May '20 0.252.453.193.894.94
Jun '20 0.252.453.193.894.94
Jul '20 0.252.453.093.794.94
Aug '20 0.252.453.093.754.79
Sep '20 0.252.453.093.594.79

Rates and prices together

5-year mortgage rate and TRREB average price

5-year mortgage rate

5-year mortgage rate over the 13 months ending September 2020.
Month 5-year rate
Sep '19 5.19
Oct '19 5.19
Nov '19 5.19
Dec '19 5.19
Jan '20 5.19
Feb '20 5.19
Mar '20 5.04
Apr '20 5.04
May '20 4.94
Jun '20 4.94
Jul '20 4.94
Aug '20 4.79
Sep '20 4.79

TRREB average price

TRREB average selling price over the 13 months ending September 2020.
Month Average price
Sep '19 843115
Oct '19 852142
Nov '19 843637
Dec '19 837788
Jan '20 839363
Feb '20 910290
Mar '20 902680
Apr '20 821392
May '20 863599
Jun '20 930869
Jul '20 943710
Aug '20 951404
Sep '20 960772

Shown side by side rather than on one dual-axis chart. Two scales sharing an axis invites the eye to read a relationship from where the lines happen to cross, which is an artifact of the scaling, not the data.

Source notes

Sources and Notes: i - Statistics Canada, Quarter-over-quarter , annualized change - Statistics Canada, Year-over-year growth for the most recently reported month - Bank of Canada, Rate from most recent Bank of Canada announcement - Bank of Canada, Rates for most